Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.004000 0.004202 0.004409 0.004638 0.004883 0.005139 0.005426
2025-01-19 0.003522 0.003812 0.004121 0.004477 0.004876 0.005312 0.005827
2025-01-26 0.003321 0.003667 0.004048 0.004498 0.005021 0.005612 0.006335
2025-02-02 0.003232 0.003630 0.004078 0.004622 0.005270 0.006026 0.006984
2025-02-09 0.003062 0.003483 0.003966 0.004565 0.005296 0.006168 0.007302
2025-02-16 0.002942 0.003387 0.003904 0.004558 0.005371 0.006365 0.007692
2025-02-23 0.002828 0.003289 0.003832 0.004530 0.005414 0.006517 0.008026
2025-03-02 0.002764 0.003246 0.003824 0.004577 0.005550 0.006788 0.008525
2025-03-09 0.002666 0.003158 0.003753 0.004540 0.005573 0.006910 0.008826
2025-03-16 0.002576 0.003073 0.003683 0.004499 0.005585 0.007015 0.009106
2025-03-23 0.002477 0.002975 0.003591 0.004424 0.005547 0.007049 0.009283
2025-03-30 0.002389 0.002887 0.003508 0.004356 0.005515 0.007085 0.009462
2025-04-06 0.002336 0.002843 0.003482 0.004366 0.005591 0.007280 0.009891
2025-04-13 0.002220 0.002714 0.003342 0.004218 0.005441 0.007149 0.009827
2025-04-20 0.002178 0.002682 0.003327 0.004237 0.005527 0.007358 0.010288
2025-04-27 0.002176 0.002700 0.003380 0.004351 0.005750 0.007775 0.011100
2025-05-04 0.002112 0.002634 0.003316 0.004299 0.005731 0.007830 0.011336
2025-05-11 0.002068 0.002594 0.003285 0.004292 0.005776 0.007984 0.011741
2025-05-18 0.002020 0.002546 0.003243 0.004266 0.005792 0.008091 0.012073
2025-05-25 0.001999 0.002533 0.003248 0.004310 0.005912 0.008367 0.012709
2025-06-01 0.001952 0.002485 0.003202 0.004276 0.005912 0.008450 0.013014
2025-06-08 0.001906 0.002436 0.003155 0.004237 0.005904 0.008519 0.013297
2025-06-15 0.001852 0.002376 0.003088 0.004169 0.005845 0.008501 0.013420